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From the standpoint of capturing decision rules, there are three problems with this approach. First, polynomial functions conflate nonlinearity with nonmonotonicity. However, as in Fig. 2, heuristic decision rules may reflect (utility) functions which are both highly nonlinear and monotonic. Higher-order polynomials allow for a wider range of functional forms but at a price of multicollinearity that is intrinsic and greater imprecision. Second, noncompensatory decision rules impose a screener denoting the cutoff for a given attribute. However, polynomials force the conclusion function to be "smoothed" in a manner that obscures a potentially sharp cutpoint. Third, polynomials are notoriously sensitive to outliers, so that observations with values far from that region may drive the shape of the function in any area. Our aim is to allow the form to be driven primarily by information that is local and not by asymptotics. We show that our model tells a substantive story compared with traditional specifications and both fits.
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