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In our final set of results, we show that investigations can be distorted by conventional modeling approaches. Since unobserved heterogeneity is standard in statistical software packages, an appropriate comparison is between a single-stage choice model and our model for either browsing or writing conditional on browsing with a polynomial representation of nonlinearity plus unobserved heterogeneity.
I met my (now ex) girlfriend on OkCupid. Prior to meeting her, I received very few messages from other girls (they were probably too intimidated). Curiously, I asked her how many guys messaged her. "I received over a dozen messages every day in the first few weeks," she said. "I continue to get at least a few every day. I barely even look at them now. "
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Table 1 reports the matches of two-stage models with and without heterogeneous decision rules (latent classes) as well as models that allow for conventional representation of continuous covariates (i.e., no splines). Based on standard fit Local Call Girls Near Me Whitemud Creek Ravine Twin Brooks metrics, the proposed model with five latent classes for both men and women fits the data better than all nested models (e.g., homogeneous and linear utility) and nonnested ones with polynomial representation of continuous covariates, and these differences are statistically significant. We evaluate goodness of fit using a holdout sample comprising 318 women who joined the site after the estimation period and 181 men, to safeguard against overfitting. These out of sample estimates reaffirm that a model outperforms other conventional specifications. In addition to superior fit, our model captures features of decision procedures that are distorted by traditional approaches. Additional details are in SI Appendix, Section S4.
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